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The Next 100 Years - Friedman, George
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The Next 100 Years - neues Buch

2007, ISBN: 9780385517058

ID: 279242

CHAPTER 1 The Dawn of the American Age There is a deep-seated belief in America that the United States is approaching the eve of its destruction. Read letters to the editor, peruse the Web, and listen to public discourse. Disastrous wars, uncontrolled deficits, high gasoline prices, shootings at universities, corruption in business and government, and an endless litany of other shortcomings--all of them quite real--create a sense that the American dream has been shattered and that America is past its prime. If that doesn't convince you, listen to Europeans. They will assure you that America's best day is behind it. The odd thing is that all of this foreboding was present during the presidency of Richard Nixon, together with many of the same issues. There is a continual fear that American power and prosperity are illusory, and that disaster is just around the corner. The sense transcends ideology. Environmentalists and Christian conservatives are both delivering the same message. Unless we repent of our ways, we will pay the price--and it may be too late already. It's interesting to note that the nation that believes in its manifest destiny has not only a sense of impending disaster but a nagging feeling that the country simply isn't what it used to be. We have a deep sense of nostalgia for the 1950s as a "simpler" time. This is quite a strange belief. With the Korean War and McCarthy at one end, Little Rock in the middle, and Sputnik and Berlin at the other end, and the very real threat of nuclear war throughout, the 1950s was actually a time of intense anxiety and foreboding. A widely read book published in the 1950s was entitled The Age of Anxiety. In the 1950s, they looked back nostalgically at an earlier America, just as we look back nostalgically at the 1950s. American culture is the manic combination of exultant hubris and profound gloom. The net result is a sense of confidence constantly undermined by the fear that we may be drowned by melting ice caps caused by global warming or smitten dead by a wrathful God for gay marriage, both outcomes being our personal responsibility. American mood swings make it hard to develop a real sense of the United States at the beginning of the twenty-first century. But the fact is that the United States is stunningly powerful. It may be that it is heading for a catastrophe, but it is hard to see one when you look at the basic facts. Let's consider some illuminating figures. Americans constitute about 4 percent of the world's population but produce about 26 percent of all goods and services. In 2007 U.S. gross domestic product was about $14 trillion, compared to the world's GDP of $54 trillion--about 26 percent of the world's economic activity takes place in the United States. The next largest economy in the world is Japan's, with a GDP of about $4.4 trillion--about a third the size of ours. The American economy is so huge that it is larger than the economies of the next four countries combined: Business Business eBook, Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group

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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century - Friedman, George
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"Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world." --George Friedman In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future--offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. "The Next 100 Years "draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era--with changes in store, including: - The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude--replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. - China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. - A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. - Technology will focus on space--both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. - The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, "The Next 100 Years" presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead. For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Friedman, George, Doubleday Books

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[SR: 37138], Gebundene Ausgabe, [EAN: 9780385517058], Doubleday, Doubleday, Book, [PU: Doubleday], 2009-01-27, Doubleday, 69084011, Beziehungen, 69083011, International, 69077011, Politik, 69028011, Sachbücher, 54071011, Genres, 52044011, Fremdsprachige Bücher, 1321874031, Frieden & Sicherheit, 69077011, Politik, 69028011, Sachbücher, 54071011, Genres, 52044011, Fremdsprachige Bücher

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Details zum Buch
The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
Autor:

Friedman, George

Titel:

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

ISBN-Nummer:

Friedman, a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, turns his eye to the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns, "The Next 100 Years" is a compelling, realistic, and eye-opening portrait of the future.

Detailangaben zum Buch - The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century


EAN (ISBN-13): 9780385517058
ISBN (ISBN-10): 038551705X
Gebundene Ausgabe
Taschenbuch
Erscheinungsjahr: 2009
Herausgeber: BANTAM DELL
272 Seiten
Gewicht: 0,523 kg
Sprache: eng/Englisch

Buch in der Datenbank seit 29.01.2008 02:35:53
Buch zuletzt gefunden am 04.07.2017 14:49:53
ISBN/EAN: 038551705X

ISBN - alternative Schreibweisen:
0-385-51705-X, 978-0-385-51705-8


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