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Contributions to Economics: Business Cycles in the Contemporary World - Description, Causes, Aggregation and Synchronization. Diss.
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Contributions to Economics: Business Cycles in the Contemporary World - Description, Causes, Aggregation and Synchronization. Diss. - Taschenbuch

2003, ISBN: 9783790815320

[ED: Taschenbuch / Paperback], [PU: Physica-Verlag], AUSFÜHRLICHERE BESCHREIBUNG: The realizationoftheresearch project documented in thisstudy wouldnot have been possible without the kind support and help of several people. I want totaketheopportunitytoexpressmygratitudetothem. Myfirstand foremost thanks go to my thesis supervisor Claude Hillinger. He steadily supported my work with a host of ideas,criticism and encouragement. He has been influential and inspiring in his comments and criticism on alllev elsofdevelopment ofthisdissertation. My sincerethanksare dueto Ulrich Woitek,teachingmefromtheverybeginninginprogrammingandlettingme participate from his expert knowledgeintimeseriesanalysis. UlrichWoitek and Michael Reiter kindly provided me with software and encouraged me throughoutthe whole dissertation project with their comments and in dis cussionsduringtheir staysat Munichand via e-mail. Theyhavehelped me totake many hurdles, particularly in the early stages ofthe project. I am indebted tomyco-supervisor Stephan Klasen forhisengagement andopen minded interest in mythesis. To makethe present work more readable,my friendsin the US,JeanCzerlinskyandRadovanVadovic,madegreat efforts to correct language and style. lowe a great debt of gratitude to them. I alsothankReginaRiphahnandBurkhardHeer fortheir encouragement and helpful guidance. Special thanksgo to Barbara Dluhosch, JakobdeHaan,Burkhard Heer andGerhardIlling. Astheirteachingassistanttheyallgavemetheresources andnecessaryscopeofdevelopmentformydissertationprojectinastimulat ingenvironmentattheEconomics DepartmentoftheUniversity ofMunich. Ithank BeatriceDumpertand BrigitteGebhardfor their maternal motiva tional support and help in administrative matters. Finally, I am indebted to MaximilianFreier for hisreliablesupportand forcross-readingnumerous preliminarydraftsofthethesis. I gratefully acknowledge the Bavarian Young Scientists Grant (Pro motionsstipendium nach dem Gesetz zur Forderung des bayerischen wis senschaftlichen Nachwuchses) for financial support during the first years of my dissertation project. Munich,August 2002 BerndSilssmutli Contents 1. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1. 1 BusinessCycle Research:21st CenturyPerspective 1 1. 1. 1 TheClassicView. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1. 1. 2 From CBC toRBC School. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . INHALT: 1. Introduction.- 1.1 Business Cycle Research: 21st Century Perspective.- 1.1.1 The Classic View.- 1.1.2 From CBC to RBC School.- 1.2 Recent Empirical Findings in Favor of CBC.- 1.1.1 Aggregate Investment Fluctuations and Business Cycles.- 1.1.2 The Cyclicality of the Aggregate Investment Series.- 1.1.3 Investment, the RBC View and Disaggregated Dynamics.- I.Methodology.- 2. General Considerations and Historiography.- 2.1 Methodologies: Econometrics vs. Natural Sciences.- 2.2 The Econometric Approach to Time Series Analysis.- 3. The Analysis of Cyclical Dynamics.- 3.1 The Detrending Problem.- 3.2 Volatility and Spectral Analysis.- 3.2.1 Contribution-to-Variance Analysis.- 3.2.2 Spectral Analysis: The Univariate Case.- 3.2.3 The Analysis of Complex Roots.- 3.2.4 Spectral Analysis: The Multivariate Case.- II. National, Supra- and International Cycles.- 4. The G7 and Eurol5 Economies: 1960 - 2000.- 4.1 Data and Strategy.- 4.2 National Uni- and Bivariate Stylized Facts.- 4.2.1 General Salient Facts.- 4.2.2 Robust Univariate Stylized Facts: National Cycles.- 4.2.3 Robust Bivariate Stylized Facts: National Cycles.- 4.3 Supranational Bivariate Stylized Facts.- 5. Mode-Locking and the Global Cycle.- 5.1 Introduction and Motivation of the Discussion.- 5.2 Generalizing Economic Cycles' Mode-Lock Modelling.- 5.3 A Model Incorporating Information Externalities.- 5.1.1 The Model without Information Externalities.- 5.1.2 Introducing Information Externalities.- 5.1.3 Calibration of the Model and Some Simulations.- 5.4 Outlook and Concluding Remark.- III. The Sectoral Constitution of Macro-Cycles.- 6. An Aggregation Problem for Linear Models?.- 6.1 Description of US Business Cycles.- 6.1.1 Business Cycles in Central US NIPA Time Series.- 6.1.2 Cycles in Disaggregated US Manufacturing Investment.- 6.2 Testing Autoregressivity and Aggregate Feedback.- 6.3 Linear Models of the Aggregation Process.- 6.4 Evaluation of Linear Models.- 7. The Synchronization of Sectoral Cycles.- 7.1 Definitions of Synchronization.- 7.2 A Recent Approach: Method and Findings.- 7.3 The "Shift-Win"-Approach: Method and Findings.- 8. A Non-Linear Synchronization Model.- 8.1 Theoretical Underpinning of the Model.- 8.1.1 The Medium-Term Investment Objective: Smoothing.- 8.1.2 The Short-Term Investment Objective: Herding.- 8.1.3 The Integrated Model: Smoothing and Herding.- 8.1.4 The Synchronization Mechanism.- 8.2 A Thorough Simulation Study.- 8.2.1 Calibration as an Alternative to Estimation.- 8.2.2 Setting Up the Simulation Strategy and Determining Priors.- 8.2.3. Monte Carlo Simulations of the Model Incorporating Shocks.- 8.2.4 Evaluation of the Model and Outlook.- 9. Conclusion.- Abbreviations.- References., [SC: 0.00], Neuware, gewerbliches Angebot, 23,5 cm, [GW: 276g]

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Business cycles in the contemporary world : with 17 Tables - Bernd Süssmuth
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Bernd Süssmuth:

Business cycles in the contemporary world : with 17 Tables - gebrauchtes Buch

1, ISBN: 9783790815320

[ED: kart.], [PU: Heidelberg New York : Physica-Verl.], Gebraucht - Wie neu Ungelesen, vollständig, sehr guter Zustand, leichte Lagerspuren, als Mängelexemplar gekennzeichnet - The book provides a thorough and sophisticated descriptive analysis of business cycles in a historical perspective. The study is based on the latest available time series as well as latest techniques from the frequency domain. A combined univariate and bivariate analysis is conducted on the national as well as supranational (G7- and Euro-Area wide) level. Issues of stability, volatility, and cyclicality are investigated jointly. An extensive analysis of US manufacturing investment series on the fairly disaggregated four-digit level highlights the limits of linear models to capture the sectoral aggregation process. Synchronization is modelled by a mode-locking mechanism of industrial investment cycles induced by informational externalities. The model in its stochastic version is numerically simulated to assess an agreement between model and data., [SC: 0.00]

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Bernd Süssmuth:
Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: "Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization" (Contributions to Economics) - Taschenbuch

ISBN: 3790815322

[SR: 8470884], Paperback, [EAN: 9783790815320], Springer, Springer, Book, [PU: Springer], Springer, The realizationoftheresearch project documented in thisstudy wouldnot have been possible without the...., 268156, Econometrics, 268153, Economics, 68, Business, Finance & Law, 1025612, Subjects, 266239, Books, 268173, Macroeconomics, 268153, Economics, 68, Business, Finance & Law, 1025612, Subjects, 266239, Books, 268176, Microeconomics, 268153, Economics, 68, Business, Finance & Law, 1025612, Subjects, 266239, Books

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Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization - Bernd Sussmuth
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Bernd Sussmuth:
Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization - Taschenbuch

ISBN: 9783790815320

ID: 9783790815320

Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization Business-Cycles-in-the-Contemporary-World~~Bernd-Sussmuth Business>Economics & Finance>Economics & Finance Paperback, Physica-Verlag HD

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Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: 'Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization' (Contributions to Economics) - Bernd Süssmuth
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Bernd Süssmuth:
Business Cycles in the Contemporary World: 'Description, Causes, Aggregation, and Synchronization' (Contributions to Economics) - Taschenbuch

2013, ISBN: 9783790815320

ID: 856801895

Springer, 2013. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has soft covers. In good all round condition., Springer, 2013

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Business Cycles in the Contemporary World
Autor:

Süssmuth, Bernd

Titel:

Business Cycles in the Contemporary World

ISBN-Nummer:

9783790815320

The book provides a thorough and sophisticated descriptive analysis of business cycles in a historical perspective. The study is based on the latest available time series as well as latest techniques from the frequency domain. A combined univariate and bivariate analysis is conducted on the national as well as supranational (G7- and Euro-Area wide) level. Issues of stability, volatility, and cyclicality are investigated jointly. An extensive analysis of US manufacturing investment series on the fairly disaggregated four-digit level highlights the limits of linear models to capture the sectoral aggregation process. Synchronization is modelled by a mode-locking mechanism of industrial investment cycles induced by informational externalities. The model in its stochastic version is numerically simulated to assess an agreement between model and data.

Detailangaben zum Buch - Business Cycles in the Contemporary World


EAN (ISBN-13): 9783790815320
ISBN (ISBN-10): 3790815322
Taschenbuch
Erscheinungsjahr: 2002
Herausgeber: Physica Verlag
180 Seiten
Gewicht: 0,279 kg
Sprache: eng/Englisch

Buch in der Datenbank seit 05.06.2007 04:45:32
Buch zuletzt gefunden am 21.10.2016 02:53:28
ISBN/EAN: 9783790815320

ISBN - alternative Schreibweisen:
3-7908-1532-2, 978-3-7908-1532-0

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