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The Black Swan:  Second Edition: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable: With A New Section: On Robustness And Fragility - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:

The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable: With A New Section: On Robustness And Fragility - neues Buch

ISBN: 9781400063512

ID: 978140006351

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) “A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail “Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times “The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal “Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times “Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Books, Business and Finance, Finance and Investing, Corporate Finance, The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable: With A New Section: On Robustness And Fragility Books>Business and Finance>Finance and Investing>Corporate Finance, Random House Publishing Group

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - neues Buch

2007, ISBN: 9781400063512

ID: 201068024

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb´s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don´t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don´t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ´´impossible.´´ For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don´t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, ´´On Robustness and Fragility,´´ which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb ´´The most prophetic voice of all.´´ -GQ Praise for The Black Swan ´´[A book] that altered modern thinking.´´ - The Times (London) ´´A masterpiece.´´ -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail ´´Idiosyncratically brilliant.´´ -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times ´´ The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.´´ -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate ´´[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.´´ -The Wall Street Journal ´´Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.´´ - Financial Times ´´Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.´´ -The New York Times Book Review Examines the role of the unexpected - the Black Swan - in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. Bücher > Fremdsprachige Bücher > Englische Bücher > Preisgekrönte Bücher gebundene Ausgabe 01.04.2007, Random House Inc, .200

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ISBN: 9781400063512

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Examines the role of the unexpected - the Black Swan - in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." - The Times (London) "A masterpiece." -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." -The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into." - Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." -The New York Times Book Review Bücher / Fremdsprachige Bücher / Englische Bücher / Preisgekrönte Bücher 978-1-4000-6351-2, Random House Inc

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - gebrauchtes Buch

ISBN: 9781400063512

ID: 6023775

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications "The Black Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. "The Black Swan" is a landmark book-itself a black swan. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, Random House (NY)

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Details zum Buch
The Black Swan
Autor:

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

Titel:

The Black Swan

ISBN-Nummer:

1400063515

Taleb delivers a groundbreaking look at the role played by the unexpected in life and history, and a fascinating examination of why we know less than we think we do--and what to do about it.

Detailangaben zum Buch - The Black Swan


EAN (ISBN-13): 9781400063512
ISBN (ISBN-10): 1400063515
Gebundene Ausgabe
Taschenbuch
Erscheinungsjahr: 2007
Herausgeber: Random House Inc.
366 Seiten
Gewicht: 0,663 kg
Sprache: eng/Englisch

Buch in der Datenbank seit 04.06.2007 16:32:51
Buch zuletzt gefunden am 16.12.2016 10:10:36
ISBN/EAN: 1400063515

ISBN - alternative Schreibweisen:
1-4000-6351-5, 978-1-4000-6351-2

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